Read more about the article Coronavírus: o impacto na economia global e na economia brasileira

Coronavírus: o impacto na economia global e na economia brasileira

O surto do #Coronavírus originado na #China trouxe pânico global ao setor de saúde. Mas ele não está sozinho... Os mercados mundiais sentiram fortes impactos com a crise, com quedas expressivas nos principais indicadores econômicos. Nesta coluna para o #AjusteDeContas, Otaviano Canuto faz uma análise das perspectivas para a economia global sob a ótica desta epidemia. No video seguinte, abaixo, ele aborda os impactos diretos sobre a economia brasileira. O primeiro ivdeo, por sua vez, em entrevista a Record News atualiza analises para o dia 26 de fevereiro

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Read more about the article Central Banks and Climate Change: from Black to Green Swans

Central Banks and Climate Change: from Black to Green Swans

There are three possible justifications for the engagement by central banks with climate change issues: financial risks, macroeconomic impacts, and mitigation/adaptation policies. Regardless of the extent to which individual central banks incorporate the three prongs of motivations, they can no longer ignore climate change. Last month, a BIS book referred to a “green swan” as an adaptation of the concept of a “black swan” used in finance.

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Read more about the article How Latin America Can Make Fintech a Priority
26 November 2018, Bolivia, Los Yungas: A woman checks her smartphone during a break at a coca plantation in the community of Cruz Loma, Los Yungas. This region has the largest area of coca cultivation in the country. According to the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), the area grew by six percent in 2017. In Bolivia, chewing coca leaves is a tradition and widespread and legal practice. Bolivia is the third largest coca producer worldwide after Peru and Colombia. Photo: Marcelo Perez del Carpio/dpa (Photo by Marcelo Perez del Carpio/picture alliance via Getty Images)

How Latin America Can Make Fintech a Priority

In order to flourish in the region, fintech will require country-specific regulatory measures and institutional capacity building. Attention must also be paid to managing new risks to financial stability, cyber-risks and data privacy. Given the potential triple dividend in terms of financial inclusion, competition and inclusion, however, it is clearly worth it.

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Read more about the article Brazil’s Biggest Economic Risk Is Complacency
PRISCILA ZAMBOTTO

Brazil’s Biggest Economic Risk Is Complacency

This year can be a decisive one for Brazil’s transition to a more robust and sustainable growth path – but only if the government commits to fiscal and structural reform. If Brazil’s leaders fail to take this opportunity to lay the foundations for long-term prosperity, it may not be long before the economy stalls again.

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Read more about the article A tecnologia que irrita os banqueiros

A tecnologia que irrita os banqueiros

Os bancos digitais chegaram pra ficar. Apesar disso, 45 milhões de pessoas não têm conta em banco. Esse grupo de pessoas movimenta o equivalente a R$ 800 bilhões todos os anos. A onda de inovações tecnológicas têm impactado os setores financeiros,oferendo inclusão para quem não tinha acesso a este mundo. Direito de Washington, EUA, Otaviano Canuto conta que as fintechs vieram pra ficar, apesar de "irritar" os banqueiros.

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Read more about the article Interview with Otaviano Canuto 2

Interview with Otaviano Canuto 2

Will the economy fail to perform in 2020 or is a recession at hand? Otaviano Canuto, Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South and Nonresident Senior Fellow at The Brookings Institution, joins me once again to discuss the last quarter of 2019 and speaks about the chances for a recession in 2020. Additionally, he talks about corporate debt and the outlook for the housing market in 2020. Wages and employment will likely feel and impact in 2020. Join me for the complete interview with Otaviano Canuto right here on The Leader Campus Voices.

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Read more about the article Tarifas de Trump diminuíram o emprego manufatureiro dos EUA, analisa Otaviano

Tarifas de Trump diminuíram o emprego manufatureiro dos EUA, analisa Otaviano

O aumento de tarifas imposto pelos Estados Unidos contra seus principais parceiros comerciais a partir do início de 2018 não teve precedentes comparáveis na história recente. Presidente Trump aludiu a, entre outros, o  objetivo de revitalizar empregos na indústria manufatureira do país mediante sua proteção perante práticas comerciais desleais de outros países, particularmente a China. Só que, de acordo com estudo do FED (Federal Reserve Bank), o banco central dos EUA, divulgado em 23 de dezembro passado, o efeito até aqui foi justamente o oposto, ou seja, redução no emprego manufatureiro!

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Read more about the article Trump Tariffs Have Hurt U.S. Manufacturing Jobs
MISH TALK May 10, 2019 https://moneymaven.io/mishtalk/economics/dear-president-trump-stop-the-damn-trade-lies-k5NFyqo6dEGhQQFCSp7OkQ

Trump Tariffs Have Hurt U.S. Manufacturing Jobs

The hike in tariffs imposed by the United States against its major trading partners since early 2018 has been unprecedented in recent history. President Trump alluded to, among others, the goal of revitalizing jobs in the country's manufacturing industry by protecting it from unfair trade practices of other countries, particularly China. However, according to a study by two Federal Reserve Bank staff - Aaron Flaaen and Justin Pierce - released last December 23, the effect so far has been just the opposite, i.e. a reduction in U.S. manufacturing employment!

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Read more about the article EUA: crise na saúde. Americanos com inveja do SUS

EUA: crise na saúde. Americanos com inveja do SUS

Todo mundo reclama do Sistema Único de Saúde (SUS) do Brasil. Está certo que não é o melhor dos mundos, mas nos Estados Unidos, onde não existe saúde pública, tem gente sentindo inveja dos brasileiros. Lá todo sistema de saúde é particular. Direto de Washington, Otaviano Canuto aponta dois grandes problemas na política de saúde dos norte-americanos: alto custo com resultados abaixo dos países comparaveis e falta de universalidade.

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Read more about the article Futuro do trabalho

Futuro do trabalho

Desemprego, informalidade e desalento são os três maiores dramas do trabalhador brasileiro. Cada novo governo tenta reduzir as taxas dessas categorias, sem muito sucesso. Será que até o fim do século teremos uam solução? Direto de Washington, Otaviano Canuto faz uma análise deste cenário no #AjusteDeContas.

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Read more about the article The Next Financial Crisis

The Next Financial Crisis

More than a decade has passed since the Global Financial Crisis and the age of unconventional monetary policies has not ended. More recently, monetary policy has been eased in 70% of the world economy, negative yielding debt has reached US$ 15 trillion, financial conditions have eased and could ease further. As it tends to happen when very low interest rates and search for yield remain for long, financial system vulnerabilities have continued to build. We may well be on the verge of a new financial crisis. • Where are the key rising vulnerabilities in the global financial system? • Has the rise in debt of emerging and frontier markets spurred by global low interest rates and availability of external finance been matched with corresponding asset creation? • To what extent has heightened trade and policy uncertainty affected financial flows? • What should policymakers do to address rising financial vulnerabilities?

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