Turbulence
Three Perspectives on Brazilian Growth Pessimism
It has become increasingly evident over the last two years that the growth engine of the Brazilian economy has run out of steam. Despite relative resilience during the global…
What’s Holding Back Brazil?
Project Syndicate One often hears that Brazil’s economy is stuck in the “middle-income trap.” Since the debt crisis of the 1980’s, Brazil has failed to revive the structural transformation and…
The High Density of Brazilian Production Chains
International trade has undergone a radical transformation in the past decades as production processes have fragmented along cross-border value chains. The Brazilian economy has remained on the fringes of…
Kajiado, Kenya 2010
Brazil, Korea: Two Tales of a Macroprudential Regulation
There are still serious questions on how to proceed with the complementary use of prudential regulation and monetary policy. While there are already lessons from emerging markets’ use of the macroprudential policy toolkit, more experience and analysis, particularly on its interaction with monetary policy is needed.
Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets
The 2008 financial crisis has emphasized the importance of macro financial linkages. In the financial sector, attention is now focusing on macro prudential regulations that are geared toward the stability of the financial system as a whole. In the macro arena, the recognition that price stability was not sufficient to guarantee macroeconomic stability and that financial imbalances developed despite low inflation and small output gaps has highlighted the need for additional tools (macro prudential policies) to complement monetary policy in countercyclical management. Emerging markets (EMs) face different conditions and have key structural features that can have a bearing on the relevance and efficacy of policy measures. Drawing on Canuto, Otaviano, and Swati R. Ghosh, eds. 2013. Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets. Washington, DC: World Bank), this note discusses the challenges of dealing with macro financial linkages and explores the policy toolkit available for dealing with systemic risks, particularly in the context of EMs.
Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets
The 2008 financial crisis highlighted the challenges associated with global financial integration, emphasized the importance of macro financial linkages and challenged pre-crisis financial stability regimes.
China, Brazil: Two Tales of a Growth Slowdown
China and Brazil are both facing a growth slowdown, as compared to the period prior to the global financial crisis. They were both able to respond with aggressive anti-cyclical policies to the post-Lehman quasi-collapse of the global economy. In both cases, such policies led to a growth rebound by reinvigorating previous patterns of growth. This brought forth the exhaustion of such patterns and the need to transit to other growth regimes.
Brazil: Chasing Animal Spirits
Brazil’s GDP performance has been lackluster since the post-crisis rebound in 2010. Prospects for 2013 look a little better: unemployment rates have remained low, and data from the first…
Gender Equality Pays Off in Brazil
Brazil’s success in reducing poverty and income inequality has been widely reported in recent years. What is less known is that there has also been progress in lessening gender inequality in…
The Brazilian competitiveness cliff
VoxEU Brazilian exports of goods and services have grown sharply in recent years, tripling since 2000. This column argues that Brazil’s export performance depends mostly on favourable geographical and sector…
Wilson Center – How to Improve Brazil’s Industrial Growth and Export Performance
How to Improve Brazil's Industrial Growth and Export Performance https://youtu.be/jnBvogssgQQ Low industrial productivity growth and disappointing export performances are the center of an economic policy debate raging in Brazil.…
Brazilian Competitiveness: Folia and Hangover
As the Carnival in Brazil kicked off last weekend, Brazilians were ready for a party. They have reasons to celebrate. Despite a lackluster GDP performance in the last two…
Risky Growth Engines
While the rich world puts its post-crisis house in order, developing countries as a whole are becoming the new engine of global growth. But switching locomotives is never free of risk.
Emerged Economies
In the post-recession era, developing countries have come out on top. And they're going to stay there.
Vulnerability, Exchange Rate and International Reserves: Whither Brazil?
Picture a Latin American country sitting on US$350 billion of international reserves, while running current account deficit, fiscal deficit and paying an interest bill on public debt that hovers…