17 agosto 2018 - Paula Tavares, Otaviano Canuto Latin America is up against a momentous year on multiple fronts. On one hand, game-changing national elections in six countries, including three…
Argentina and Turkey combine balance-of-payments fragility and exposure to dollar appreciation
The slowdown in Latin America since 2012 has been accompanied by weak and slightly decelerating potential growth, reflecting sluggish productivity, scarcity of fixed investments and demographic changes. Positive global economic prospects for 2018, the regional cyclical recovery, and policy initiatives to lift productivity are presenting Latin America's leaders with the opportunity to alter that trajectory.
Outlook on Brazil and Southern Cone Economies Council of the Americas, February 6, 2018 Council of the Americas and FONPLATA held a discussion on the Southern Cone economies in…
10 janeiro 2018 - Otaviano Canuto The cruise speed with which Latin American economies are starting 2018 will be constrained by low investments and weak productivity growth in the…
5 October 2017 - Otaviano Canuto Painful transition presages long-term benefits Brazil's judicial investigation into widespread government corruption has unveiled an expansive network of illicit relationships between small clusters…
13 March 2017 - Otaviano Canuto, Diana Quintero Colombia is a country of incredible contrast: known to be one of the places on earth where people feel happiest, it…
11 August 2016 - Otaviano Canuto The Chinese economy is rebalancing while softening its growth pace. China’s spillovers on the global economy have operated through trade, commodity prices, and…
LatAm in Focus: Otaviano Canuto on Fixing Brazil's Economy Luisa Leme May 04, 2016 Productivity: that's the key word to fixing Brazil's economy. @ocanuto speaks to @luisaleme. Brazil needs to…
For centuries, Latin America’s economies have revolved around exporting commodities – be it digging up minerals and hydrocarbons, planting soya or coffee, or taking advantage of what animals leave behind,…
After a exponential rise in foreign exchange reserves accumulation by emerging markets from 2000 onwards, the tide seems to have turned south since mid-2014. Changes in capital flows and commodity prices have been major factors behind the inflection, with the new direction expected to remain, given the context of the global economy going forward. Although it is too early to gauge whether the on-going relative unwinding of such reserves defenses will lead to vulnerability in specific emerging markets, the payoff from strengthening domestic policies has broadly increased.
Capital Finance International, summer 2015 The end of the upswing phase of the commodity price super-cycle, after its peak in 2011, has lowered economic growth prospects in most of…
Today, July 20, 2015, Cuba and the United States reopened embassies in Washington and Havana for the first time in decades,
https://youtu.be/iouVIUBQXcQ GEDProject Published on Jul 20, 2015 Cuba it clearly experiencing a transition. But a transition to what? What’s the endgame here? And what can the international community do…
Since last year there has been much talk of possible financial stress stemming from increased debt leverage in non-financial corporates of emerging markets economies. A recent study has brought…